NEWS： British Parliament will veto Teresa May's withdrawal agreement
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But the latest survey has turned a corner, with the possibility of a no-agreement withdrawal declining, which is now lower than the possibility of a British withdrawal, the first time since Reuters began asking this question at the end of 2016. Britain will hold a referendum on British withdrawal in 2016.
Teresa May has so far failed to convince parliamentarians to support her withdrawal agreement. She has delayed parliamentary voting once, and there is still uncertainty about the conditions for Britain to withdraw from Europe on March 29.
The median estimate now shows a 23% chance of a disorderly exit from Europe, slightly lower than the December survey, suggesting that analysts believe the agreement will eventually be passed.
"All signs indicate that the government will suffer a terrible defeat on Tuesday. We believe that the unpopular evidence of the withdrawal agreement may be enough to allow the EU to make significant concessions, because avoiding a disorderly British withdrawal is also important for the European economic outlook, "said John Wraith of UBS.
"Assuming such a compromise is reached, the chances of a second vote are much greater than some people think."
Over the past few days, 40 respondents believed that Parliament would veto Teresa May's withdrawal agreement on Tuesday, 25 of whom said Parliament would reconsider it, and 14 said Britain would ask for a postponement of the original March 29 withdrawal deadline.
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