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With the trade tariff war at an end, fund managers remain worried about the global economy, even as many major central banks have begun to shift to easing policies to push U.S. stocks to record highs in July.
Although the falling bond yields have not yet disturbed Wall Street or international stock markets, fund managers still recommend that the share of equities in the global portfolio model be reduced to an average of 45.7%.
At the beginning of 2019, the global average recommended stock ratio was 48.5%, which was the highest in a year, but then gradually declined. The July stock ratio was the lowest since March 2017.
"The stock market recorded strong gains in the first half of this year, but at the same time, the global economy is slowing down, trade disputes are continuing and corporate earnings growth is weak. In view of this situation, it is reasonable to be cautious about the stock market in the near future." Alan Gayle, president of Via Nova Investment Management, said.
"Besides the large stocks in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, the declining willingness to trade highlights the challenges facing the market."
In addition, according to Reuters survey of more than 500 analysts, there is a risk that stagnation in global economic growth will intensify, despite expectations that major central banks will further cut interest rates or ease policies. Respondent analysts remain concerned about the Sino-US trade war.


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